Emissions and environment

This page covers the company's greenhouse gas estimate and the other environmental topics in the IPD: air, noise, climate, wildlife, plants, parks and land use. Water and fish are on the water page.

In brief

Surge Copper estimates net greenhouse gas emissions of 5,838,389 tonnes of carbon dioxide equivalent (CO₂e) over construction and 28 years of operations, peaking at 270,957 tonnes in Year 5. Diesel burned by the mining fleet makes up most of it. The estimate leaves out land clearing, closure and post-closure, and a net-zero plan will be required because operations run past 2050. Air and noise baselines are at the desktop stage. The project overlaps a mountain goat winter range and sits at the western edge of the range of the Tweedsmuir caribou herd.

5.84 Mt CO₂enet greenhouse gases, construction and operationsSource: IPD, p. 4-31.
270,957 tpeak year, Year 5; the company puts it at 0.70% of BC's 2030 targetSource: IPD, p. 4-31; IPD, p. 4-33.
81%of the total from fuel, by our arithmetic on the company's tablesSource: IPD, p. 4-27, Table 4.5-1; IPD, p. 4-28.
26listed wildlife species with potential to occur, by our count of Table 8.1-5Source: IPD, p. 8-22; IPD, p. 8-23.

Greenhouse gases

The federal Strategic Assessment of Climate Change requires an early estimate in the IPD. Net emissions are direct emissions plus emissions from purchased energy, minus avoided domestic emissions and offsets. The company's estimate uses project information "as of July 2026" and will be updated. Source: IPD, p. 4-26.

ComponentTonnes CO₂eBasis
Direct: diesel and gasoline4,748,000Fuel for mining and mobile equipment; up to 83.7 million litres of diesel a year for mining equipment, in Year 5 Source: IPD, p. 4-27, Table 4.5-1; IPD, p. 4-28.
Direct: explosives193,809Emulsion explosives, up to 64,372 tonnes a year, in Year 5 Source: IPD, p. 4-28, Table 4.5-2; IPD, p. 4-29.
Direct total4,941,811As stated in the IPD Source: IPD, p. 4-27.
Purchased electricity896,578BC Hydro power at 22.8 tonnes CO₂e per gigawatt hour Source: IPD, p. 4-30.
Net total5,838,389No capture, storage or offsets are planned so far Source: IPD, p. 4-31.

The two "Direct" sub-totals are our sums of the company's annual tables. They add to the stated direct total within 2 tonnes of rounding.

Net emissions by year

Bar chart of annual net greenhouse gas emissions, rising from 127,668 tonnes in Year -3 to a peak of 270,957 tonnes in Year 5, staying near 200,000 to 250,000 tonnes until Year 17, then falling to about 100,000 to 150,000 tonnes through Year 28.0k100k200k300kY-3Y1Y5Y10Y15Y20Y25Y28

Annual net emissions in tonnes CO₂e. Lighter bars are the three construction years. Source: IPD, p. 4-32, Table 4.5-4.

Show the numbers
YearNet tonnes CO₂e
Y-3127,668
Y-2176,166
Y-1208,480
Y1227,494
Y2220,764
Y3247,179
Y4268,166
Y5270,957
Y6235,929
Y7242,981
Y8230,277
Y9228,496
Y10213,518
Y11237,538
Y12249,947
Y13202,536
Y14148,569
Y15200,078
Y16244,761
Y17245,871
Y18139,756
Y19134,287
Y20127,898
Y21145,828
Y22148,184
Y23117,345
Y24141,482
Y25104,705
Y26141,286
Y27101,614
Y28108,627

What the estimate leaves out

The company's comparisons

The IPD compares the peak year with BC's 2030 target of 38,800,000 tonnes a year (0.70%) and with Canada's 2030 target of 511 megatonnes (0.05%). It concludes that the emissions "will have a negligible effect on the ability for BC and Canada to meet their GHG emissions targets". Table 10-1 adds that the project's carbon intensity, about 1.27 tonnes CO₂e per tonne of copper equivalent, "places it in the lowest global 10th percentile for open pit copper operations". The IPD cites no source for that ranking. Source: IPD, p. 4-33; IPD, p. 10-11.

Because operations are expected to run past 2050, the IPD states that a net-zero plan "will be required". The IPD quotes a provincial requirement that projects provide, during the assessment, "a credible plan for their Project to achieve net-zero greenhouse gas emissions by 2030, in the case of liquified natural gas facilities, or 2050 in the case of all other Projects". Source: IPD, p. 4-33.

Our assessment. Table 10-1 gives a different figure: "approximately 3,357 kt CO₂e over the 28-year operations phase (~111.5 kt CO₂e/yr)". The company's own annual table sums to about 5.33 million tonnes for Years 1 to 28, or about 190,000 tonnes a year. We assess that the section 4.5 tables, which reconcile with their stated totals, are the IPD's working estimate, and that the Table 10-1 figure is out of date. Source: IPD, p. 10-2; IPD, p. 4-32, Table 4.5-4.

Air

The IPD expects fugitive dust from blasting, haul roads, conveyors, crushers, stockpiles and the tailings beach. It also expects nitrogen oxides, carbon monoxide and particulate from blasting and diesel equipment, and minor emissions from concentrate handling. Dispersion modelling "will be required" during the assessment. Source: IPD, p. 4-34.

Noise and vibration

Noise sources include blasting, haul trucks, crushing, conveyors and the plant, running "24/7 over 28 years" according to Table 10-1. The company expects the main receptors to be wildlife, given the remote setting, and also considers cultural land use. No quantitative noise data exist yet. A baseline program is to record at least 72 consecutive hours at each site in summer and in winter. Source: IPD, p. 4-34; IPD, p. 10-2; IPD, p. 8-17; IPD, p. 8-18.

Climate

The company used 1981 to 2010 normals from the Kemano station in its water balance. They show 1,986.9 mm of precipitation a year, 58% of it from October to January, and monthly mean temperatures from -1.5°C in January to 16.5°C in July. At the Berg station itself, temperatures in 2016 and 2017 ranged from -26°C to 24°C. Source: IPD, p. 8-3; IPD, p. 8-4; IPD, p. 8-6.

Wildlife

Species confirmed in the area include grizzly bear, black bear, moose, marmot, mountain goat and wolverine. A two-year wildlife baseline is planned. Source: IPD, p. 8-20.

The IPD lists the caribou differently in two places. Section 8.1.11 and Table 10-1 give the herd as federally threatened. Table 8.1-5 gives caribou (southern mountain population) as special concern under the Species at Risk Act. Source: IPD, p. 8-20; IPD, p. 10-6; IPD, p. 8-23, Table 8.1-5.

Map of caribou herd boundary and ungulate winter range. A dark line marks the Tweedsmuir caribou herd boundary running north-south west of Nanika Lake. Green patches of mountain goat winter range U-6-003 are scattered across the mountains, including over part of the orange Project Area east of Nanika Lake.
Tweedsmuir caribou herd boundary (dark line) and ungulate winter ranges (green: U-6-003; yellow: U-6-001) around the Project Area (orange). IPD Figure 8.1-4, p. 8-21.

Plants and ecosystems

Three biogeoclimatic units cover the area: alpine tundra, Engelmann spruce and subalpine fir forest, and mountain hemlock forest. A database search found 15 listed plants, mosses and lichens with potential to occur, by our count of Table 8.1-4. Whitebark pine, described as "a SARA-listed Endangered species", is "known to occur in high-elevation areas of the Project". Field surveys and ecosystem mapping began in 2026. Source: IPD, p. 8-18; IPD, p. 8-19; IPD, p. 10-5; IPD, p. 8-2, Table 8-1.

Table 10-1 gives approximate footprints for the main disturbances: about 1,165 hectares for the TWMF, 400 hectares for the open pit, 180 hectares for waste rock dumps and 20 hectares for the process plant. Source: IPD, p. 10-3.

Parks, recreation and land use

The Project Area is about 4 km from Nenikëkh/Nanika-Kidprice Provincial Park and about 5 km from Morice Lake Provincial Park. Atna River Provincial Park is about 21 km away. The Kidprice Lake chain, a protected area under the Morice Land and Resource Management Plan, is about 10 km from the resource area. Source: IPD, p. 3-8; IPD, p. 9-2.

Map of provincial parks around the Project Area: Atna River, Morice Lake and Nenikëkh/Nanika-Kidprice parks lie to the north and northwest, and Burnie-Shea further north. The orange Project Area sits southeast of Nanika Lake, south of the parks, with the access road and transmission line heading east.
Provincial parks near the Project Area. IPD Figure 3.2-3, p. 3-9.

Where the baseline stands

DisciplineYears active
Hydrology2007 to 2008, 2011 to 2012, limited 2014 to 2017, 2024
Meteorology and climate2007 to 2009, 2011, 2013 to 2017, 2024 to 2026
Surface water quality1988, 2007 to 2011, 2013 to 2017, 2024, 2026
Fish and fish habitat1988, 2007, 2024 to 2025, 2026
Geochemistry2007, 2024 to 2026
Groundwater2024, 2026
WildlifeIncidental observations, 2025, 2026
Soils and vegetation2026
Air quality, noise, visual resources, archaeology2026 (desktop)

Source: IPD, p. 8-1, Table 8-1; IPD, p. 8-2; IPD, p. 8-3.

Our assessment. We assess that the physical baseline for water and climate is long but intermittent, and the biological and human-environment baselines are just beginning. Air, noise, visual and archaeological work has not left the desktop, so most effects in Table 10-1 are stated as possibilities rather than predictions.

Sources

  1. Surge Copper, Initial Project Description and Engagement Plan, September 2026: section 4.5, chapters 8 and 9, and chapter 10

Page references give the printed page label; each link opens the PDF at that page.

Updated October 20, 2026. Part of the Berg Copper public record. See also: water · the mine plan · map · air quality at the Tenas mine.